Moving to Bull Run
Fairfax County loses about 9.1 residents per 1,000 a year to moves between counties.
Where people come from and where they go, top counties
Within Virginia, other states or abroad
Income per tax return
People on tax returns who moved between counties, from IRS migration data, 2022 to 2023. Figures are for all of Fairfax County; flows under 20 returns are not published.
- Who moves here
- 7.6% of residents arrived from another county in the past year, 3.2% from another state.
- Who arrives and who leaves
- Households moving into Fairfax County report $105,700 a year in income on average; those leaving, $112,600, so leavers earn more than newcomers.
- Income you would need
- $131,700 a year to rent the median home at the 30% line. From your city
- Rent or buy
- Median rent is $3,293 a month; owners with a mortgage pay $4,001 a month including taxes and insurance, on a median home of $918,700.
- Getting to work
- 34 minutes each way on average; 32.4% work from home.
- If it is close but not quite
- Hinsdale, IL matches it on character for less of your income. Compare the two
All 5 moving measures
| Measure | Bull Run | Among 6,645 places | Vs median |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moved here in the past year1 | 7.6% | 32% above | |
| Moved from another state1County figure | 3.2% | 62% above | |
| Net movers per 1,000 people6County figure | -9.1 | below (median -0.6) | |
| Income of households moving in6County figure | $105,657 | 50% above | |
| Income of households moving out6County figure | $112,552 | 60% above |
What it costs to live here
Rent is light relative to pay, but the county has a FEMA natural hazard risk score of 95 out of 100. Budget for insurance before counting the savings.
Could you afford it?
Uses the median rent in Bull Run, $3,293 a month, and local prices for everything else (100.2 against a US average of 100). It runs in your browser and stores nothing.
Like Bull Run, but easier on the budget
Places that match Bull Run on character (size, age, education, homeownership, household size, housing age, remote work and climate) but where rent takes a clearly smaller share of income. Cost was left out of the match on purpose.
| Place | Match | Rent to income | More left a year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hinsdale, IL | 85 | 9.2% vs 16.3% | $20,800 | Compare |
| Wyndham, VA | 83 | 11.5% vs 16.3% | $11,300 | Compare |
| New Albany, OH | 76 | 11.9% vs 16.3% | $14,500 | Compare |
| Cherry Hills Village, CO | 72 | 10.5% vs 16.3% | $27,800 | Compare |
Moving from somewhere else? Work out the salary you would need in Bull Run.
All 15 cost and housing measures
| Measure | Bull Run | Among 6,645 places | Vs median |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median gross rent1 | $3,293 | 141% above | |
| Rent to income1 | 16.3% | 20% below | |
| Property tax rate1 | 1.0% | 8% above | |
| Home price to income1 | 3.8x | 0% above | |
| Prices vs US average2Metro figure | 108.9 | 8% above | |
| Fair market rent, 2 bedrooms3County figure | $2,438 | 51% above | |
| Property tax paid (median)1 | $8,984 | 175% above | |
| Median home value1 | $918,700 | 188% above | |
| Home prices, 1-year change4County figure | 2.1% | 34% below | |
| Home prices, 5-year change4County figure | 35.3% | 32% below | |
| Homeownership1 | 96.8% | 46% above | |
| Renters paying 30%+1County figure | 45.5% | 10% below | |
| Owner costs with a mortgage1 | $4,001 | 114% above | |
| Vacant homes1County figure | 3.7% | 47% below | |
| Median year built1 | 1989 | 1% above |
Work and pay
Unemployment is 1.4%, 71% below the median place.
More on work and pay, against the typical place
All 10 work and pay measures
| Measure | Bull Run | Among 6,645 places | Vs median |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median household income1 | $241,933 | 201% above | |
| Income per person1 | $85,249 | 113% above | |
| Unemployment1 | 1.4% | 71% below | |
| Average annual pay5County figure | $115,004 | 74% above | |
| Pay growth, 1 year5County figure | 0.8% | 78% below | |
| Jobs5County figure | 634,638 | 321% above | |
| Poverty rate1County figure | 5.9% | 45% below | |
| Mean commute1 | 34 min | 36% above | |
| Works from home1 | 32.4% | 160% above | |
| Commutes by transit1 | 0.9% | 7% above |
Who lives here
Homes with broadband is 100.0%, 8% above the median place.
More about who lives here, against the typical place
All 8 people measures
Life in Bull Run
About 16 km of named paths and bike trails are mapped in and around the city, more than in 96% of the 2,480 places under 10,000 people we track.
66 sites are on the National Register of Historic Places, 5 of them National Historic Landmarks.
Out the door, against the typical place
Mapped by volunteers in OpenStreetMap inside the city limits (Census boundaries), so coverage is fuller in some places than others. Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, ODbL.
National Park Service sites nearby
- Manassas National Battlefield Park 3 miles
- Wolf Trap National Park for the Performing Arts 14 miles
- Great Falls Park 17 miles
Businesses per 10,000 residents (county figures)
Counts businesses with paid staff, so small owner-run shops are not included.
All 18 schools and local life measures
| Measure | Bull Run | Among 6,645 places | Vs median |
|---|---|---|---|
| Public schools11County figure | 222 | above (median 9) | |
| Public school students11County figure | 174,475 | above (median 4,897) | |
| Students per teacher11County figure | 13.8 | 10% below | |
| Restaurants and bars per 10k7County figure | 21.4 | 3% above | |
| Shops per 10k7County figure | 21.4 | 29% below | |
| Arts, recreation and fitness per 10k7County figure | 4.1 | 0% above | |
| Doctors' offices and clinics per 10k7County figure | 26.6 | 32% above | |
| Child care centers per 10k7County figure | 3.2 | 39% above | |
| Parks per 10k8 | 3.8 | 62% below | |
| Playgrounds per 10k8 | 28.1 | 199% above | |
| Grocery stores per 10k8 | 0.0 | below (median 2.1) | |
| Restaurants, cafes and bars per 10k8 | 3.8 | 66% below | |
| Libraries per 10k8 | 0.0 | below (median 0.9) | |
| Named paths and bike trails8 | 16.1 | above (median 2.0) | |
| Transit stops per sq mi8 | 0.0 | below (median 0.2) | |
| Nearest National Park Service site9 | 2.5 | 92% below | |
| National Park Service sites within 60 miles9 | 40 | above (median 2) | |
| National Register listings10County figure | 66 | above (median 13) |
Safety, weather and risk
Wildfire risk is 34.0, 45% below the median place.
No crime figure yet. Either the city police department did not report to the FBI for the latest year, or our monthly fetch has not reached Bull Run. Larger places are fetched first.
All 11 weather and risk measures
| Measure | Bull Run | Among 6,645 places | Vs median |
|---|---|---|---|
| July average high12County figure | 88°F | 1% above | |
| January average low12County figure | 26°F | 4% above | |
| Average temperature12County figure | 56°F | 3% above | |
| Annual precipitation12County figure | 43.2 in | 1% below | |
| Natural hazard risk13County figure | 94.7 | 2% above | |
| Hurricane risk13County figure | 93.0 | 32% above | |
| Tornado risk13County figure | 54.5 | 33% below | |
| Wildfire risk13County figure | 34.0 | 45% below | |
| Heat wave risk13County figure | 97.1 | 8% above | |
| Median air quality index14County figure | 42 | 2% below | |
| Good air days14County figure | 77.8% | 14% above |
How it is changing
Five-year survey estimates, one point per release. Between the 2020 and 2024 releases, which share no survey years, the median rent went from 14.2% to 16.3% of the median income.
Median gross rent
Median household income
Median home value
Citytistics measures
Measures only Citytistics publishes, built from the figures on this page. Scores of 100 beat every place we track. Formulas
Bull Run in 2030: where the trends point
If recent trends hold, the median rent will take about 17% of the median income in 2030, about the same as 16% now.
Citytistics projections to 2030: each figure's own trend, blended with the typical trend across the places we rate, eased toward long-run US growth and carried forward from the latest release. The range is where 80% of places landed when we tested the same method on past releases. On projected 2030 affordability, Bull Run does better than 65% of places. Its projected home value growth beats 50%.
| Measure | Latest | 2030 projection | Likely range | Avg. per year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median rent | $3,293/mo (2024) | $4,280/mo | $3,510 to $5,220/mo | +4.5% |
| Median household income | $241,933 (2024) | $306,000 | $258,500 to $362,000 | +4.0% |
| Median home value | $918,700 (2024) | $1,317,000 | $956,000 to $1,814,000 | +6.2% |
The median home would be worth 4.3 years of the median income in 2030, against 3.8 now.
A projection of recent trends, not a prediction of the economy or advice to buy or sell. How we project.
Places like Bull Run
The closest matches on income, rent, home value, education and age, and the places nearby.
| Place | Rent | Income | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Floris, VA | $3,258 | $246,058 | Compare |
| Wakefield, VA | $3,501 | $237,975 | Compare |
| Crosspointe, VA | $3,501 | $250,001 | Compare |
| Marvin, NC | $3,364 | $250,001 | Compare |
Nearby
- Centreville, VA3 mi
- Sudley, VA4 mi
- Yorkshire, VA4 mi
- Chantilly, VA4 mi
- Bull Run, VA4 mi
- South Riding, VA5 mi
Compare Bull Run with
Places built like Bull Run
Its statistical peers: the closest matches on size, age, education, homeownership, household size, housing age, origin and remote work, in the same part of the country. Cost and outcomes are left out of the match, so the table shows how Bull Run performs against places like it.
| Place | Rent to income | Income growth | Pop. change | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bull Run, VA | 16.3% | 4.8%/yr | n/a | |
| Scaggsville, MD | 20.3% | 6.5%/yr | n/a | Compare |
| Crosspointe, VA | 16.8% | 5.3%/yr | n/a | Compare |
| Fairfax Station, VA | 15.8% | 3.6%/yr | n/a | Compare |
| South Run, VA | 16.8% | 3.7%/yr | n/a | Compare |
| Weddington, NC | 12.1% | 6.9%/yr | 10.2% | Compare |
| Darnestown, MD | 18.1% | 1.4%/yr | n/a | Compare |
Common questions
Is Bull Run a good place to live?
It depends on what you need, so here is what the numbers say. Its Citytistics Index is 82 out of 100, better than 82% of the places we rate and 41st of 190 in Virginia. The median household earns $241,933 a year, more than in 98% of the 2,480 places under 10,000 people we track. 97% of homes are owner-occupied, more than in 98% of the 2,476 places under 10,000 people we track. It is the 2nd-highest of 194 Virginia places we track. See how it ranks with your own weights.
Is Bull Run expensive to live in?
The median rent takes 16.3% of the median household income, against 20.4% in the typical place we track. Housing is a lighter load here than usual. The median home is valued at $918,700.
What salary do you need to live in Bull Run?
To rent the median home without spending more than 30% of income on rent, a household needs about $131,720 a year. Work it out from your current city.
What places are similar to Bull Run?
On income, rent, home value, education and age, the closest matches are Floris, VA, Wakefield, VA, Crosspointe, VA and Marvin, NC.
Sources and methods
The small numbers beside each measure point here. Every dataset is public; links go to the publisher.
- American Community Survey 5-year estimates · US Census Bureau · 2020 to 2024 estimatesTables B01002, B01003, B05002, B07003, B08013, B08301, B15003, B17001, B19013, B19301, B23025, B25002, B25003, B25010, B25035, B25064, B25070, B25077, B25088, B25103, B28002, S2701
- Regional Price Parities · US Bureau of Economic Analysis · Latest release, retrieved 2026-11-14
- Fair Market Rents · US Department of Housing and Urban Development · Fiscal year 2027
- House Price Index · Federal Housing Finance Agency · Latest release, retrieved 2026-11-14
- Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages · US Bureau of Labor Statistics · 2025 annual averages
- SOI Tax Stats, county-to-county migration · Internal Revenue Service · Tax years 2022 to 2023Counts tax returns and the people on them; flows under 20 returns are suppressed.
- County Business Patterns · US Census Bureau · 2023 data
- OpenStreetMap · © OpenStreetMap contributors, available under the Open Database License (ODbL) · Map data as of 2026-11
- National Park Service sites · Wikidata (CC0), units operated by the National Park Service · Retrieved 2026-11
- National Register of Historic Places · National Park Service · Listings through 2026-05-22
- Common Core of Data · National Center for Education Statistics · 2024 release
- 1991-2020 climate normals · NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information · Series updated 2026-11-05Averages for 1991 to 2020 computed from NOAA's county climate series (nClimDiv).nClimDiv county series
- National Risk Index · Federal Emergency Management Agency · Latest release, retrieved 2026-11-14NRI data and maps
- Air Quality System, annual AQI by county · US Environmental Protection Agency · 2025 dataAirData download files
Derived by Citytistics from the tables above: rent to income (B25064, B19013); property tax rate (B25103, B25077); home price to income (B25077, B19013).
What stands out compares Bull Run with places of a similar size, using only figures measured for Bull Run itself; county and metro figures never count. Survey figures are estimates with margins of error. Formulas and definitions: methodology. API: /api/v1/places/bull-run-virginia
Citytistics. “Bull Run, Virginia.” Data as of 2026-11-14. https://www.citytistics.com/city/bull-run-virginia/
This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.