CitytisticsShortlist

Bull Run, VA vs Nogales, AZ

Bull Run

Virginia

vs

Nogales

Arizona

Across 36 directional measures we can compare, Bull Run leads on 22 and Nogales on 14. Counting measures is not an overall verdict: their importance depends on your priorities. Median rent is 172% higher in Bull Run, and so is median household income.

Median gross rent
$2,002$737
Bull Run is 172% higher
Median household income
$89,679$43,214
Bull Run is 108% higher
Median home value
$413,500$186,300
Bull Run is 122% higher

The Citytistics read

  • Between the 2019 and 2024 surveys, pay outran rent by 1.1 points a year in Bull Run, and pay outran rent by 3.5 points a year in Nogales.

How these are calculated

ArizonaVirginiaNogales, AZBull Run, VABull RunNogalesBull RunNogales

Which fits you?

Both start on the Citytistics Index (CTX). Move the sliders to weigh what matters to you and the score becomes your own mix.

Your weights

Top 2 of 2 matching places. Places in the top 1% show their national rank.

#PlaceCTXAffordabilityEconomyEducationSafetyCommuteAmenitiesGrowth
01Bull Run, VAComposite 44.1 / 100
35
215964n/a1561n/a
02Nogales, AZComposite 36.6 / 100
17
4321524916064

CTX is the Citytistics Index: better than that share of the places we rate. It tops out at 99, so the top 1% show their national rank (#1 is best). Change any weight to rank on your own mix. How the CTX is built

Every measure

The dots show where each place sits among the 6,645 places we track. The bar is the median. A small dot after a value marks the better one.

MeasureBull RunNogalesAmong all places
Cost of living
Median gross rent1$2,002$737
Rent to income126.8%20.5%
Property tax rate10.9%0.5%
Home price to income14.6x4.3x
Prices vs US average2108.9n/a
Fair market rent, 2 bedrooms3$2,438$1,041
HUD area median income4n/a$64,400
Housing
Property tax paid (median)1$3,784$927
Median home value1$413,500$186,300
Home prices, 1-year change52.9%-0.7%
Home prices, 5-year change547.4%52.1%
Homeownership133.3%49.4%
Renters paying 30%+146.5%45.5%
Owner costs with a mortgage1$2,277$1,166
Vacant homes14.7%11.8%
Median year built119941978
Jobs and income
Median household income1$89,679$43,214
Income per person1$41,221$21,824
Unemployment14.6%15.7%
Average annual pay6$65,975$60,736
Pay growth, 1 year62.4%1.8%
Jobs6146,17114,194
Poverty rate113.7%28.0%
Mean commute132 min18 min
Works from home112.7%7.4%
Commutes by transit12.5%n/a
People
Population116,85919,841
Population change since 20207n/a-1.4%
Median age133.136.4
Bachelor's or higher139.5%17.6%
High school or higher182.9%68.4%
Household size12.73.0
Born abroad145.1%43.0%
No health insurance120.3%21.6%
Homes with broadband194.4%84.1%
Moving
Moved here in the past year19.3%4.6%
Moved from another state11.9%0.8%
Net movers per 1,000 people8-6.0-4.6
Income of households moving in8$76,713$58,108
Income of households moving out8$80,869$48,078
Local life
Restaurants and bars per 10k915.717.4
Shops per 10k924.131.5
Arts, recreation and fitness per 10k93.02.7
Doctors' offices and clinics per 10k915.87.2
Child care centers per 10k92.11.6
Parks per 10k1022.514.1
Playgrounds per 10k1016.01.5
Grocery stores per 10k103.65.5
Restaurants, cafes and bars per 10k1014.210.6
Libraries per 10k101.21.0
Named paths and bike trails100.03.2
Transit stops per sq mi106.90.1
Nearest National Park Service site112.315.8
National Park Service sites within 60 miles11403
National Register listings125237
Founded or incorporated13n/a1893
Safety
Violent crime per 100k14n/a250
Property crime per 100k14n/a3,042
Schools
Public schools1510118
Public school students1589,5916,393
Students per teacher1515.918.6
Climate
July average high1688°F90°F
January average low1626°F32°F
Average temperature1656°F62°F
Annual precipitation1642.1 in17.6 in
Hazards and air
Natural hazard risk1783.288.3
Hurricane risk1783.017.3
Tornado risk1776.58.7
Wildfire risk1718.298.1
Heat wave risk1793.499.0
Median air quality index183549
Good air days1895.6%52.2%

Data bundle checked 2026-11-14; individual source vintages vary. Rent needed at the 30% line: Bull Run $80,080, Nogales $29,480 a year.

Sources and methods

The small numbers beside each measure point here. Links go to the publisher.

  1. American Community Survey 5-year estimates · US Census Bureau · 2020 to 2024 estimatesTables B01002, B01003, B05002, B07003, B08013, B08301, B15003, B17001, B19013, B19301, B23025, B25002, B25003, B25010, B25035, B25064, B25070, B25077, B25088, B25103, B28002, S2701
  2. Regional Price Parities · US Bureau of Economic Analysis · Latest release, retrieved 2026-11-14
  3. Fair Market Rents · US Department of Housing and Urban Development · Fiscal year 2027
  4. Income Limits · US Department of Housing and Urban Development · Fiscal year 2026
  5. House Price Index · Federal Housing Finance Agency · Latest release, retrieved 2026-11-14
  6. Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages · US Bureau of Labor Statistics · 2025 annual averages
  7. Population Estimates · US Census Bureau · Vintage 2025
  8. SOI Tax Stats, county-to-county migration · Internal Revenue Service · Tax years 2022 to 2023Counts tax returns and the people on them; flows under 20 returns are suppressed.
  9. County Business Patterns · US Census Bureau · 2023 data
  10. OpenStreetMap · © OpenStreetMap contributors, available under the Open Database License (ODbL) · Map data as of 2026-11
  11. National Park Service sites · Wikidata (CC0), units operated by the National Park Service · Retrieved 2026-11
  12. National Register of Historic Places · National Park Service · Listings through 2026-05-22
  13. Wikidata · Wikimedia Foundation (CC0) · Retrieved 2026-11
  14. Crime Data Explorer · Federal Bureau of Investigation · 2025 data
  15. Common Core of Data · National Center for Education Statistics · 2024 release
  16. 1991-2020 climate normals · NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information · Series updated 2026-11-05Averages for 1991 to 2020 computed from NOAA's county climate series (nClimDiv).nClimDiv county series
  17. National Risk Index · Federal Emergency Management Agency · Latest release, retrieved 2026-11-14NRI data and maps
  18. Air Quality System, annual AQI by county · US Environmental Protection Agency · 2025 dataAirData download files

Derived by Citytistics from the tables above: rent to income (B25064, B19013); property tax rate (B25103, B25077); home price to income (B25077, B19013).

Survey figures are estimates with margins of error. Formulas and definitions: methodology.

Keep comparing

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